Survivorship bias can turn up in lots of places.
生存偏差可以出现在很多地方。
单词 | Survivorship bias |
释义 |
Survivorship bias
原声例句
生活小窍门 Survivorship bias can turn up in lots of places. 生存偏差可以出现在很多地方。 生活小窍门 In other words, if you don't want to be misled by survivorship bias, you have to look at the whole picture. 换句话说,如果你不想被生存偏差所误导,你就得看到全局。 生活小窍门 But trying to learn from and copy the successful can be dangerous, and it comes down to something called " survivorship bias" . 但是,试图向成功的人学习和复制可能是很危险的,这可以归结为一种被称为“生存偏差”的现象。 《金融时报》 Podcast This is also a classic example of survivorship bias. 这也是幸存者偏差的典型例子。
中文百科
幸存者偏差幸存者偏差(英语:survivorship bias),另译为「生存者偏差 」,是一种认知偏差。其逻辑谬误表现为过分关注于目前人或物“幸存了某些经历”然而往往忽略了不在视界内或无法幸存这些事件的人或物。其谬论形式为:幸存过程B的个体A有特性C,因此任何个体幸存过程B需要有特性C。有特性C但无法幸存过程B的个体被忽略不加以讨论。逻辑偏差在于只关注筛选结果做出评估,而忽略筛选条件与筛选机制等信息。用俗语「死人不会说话」来解释其成因意指当取得信息之管道,仅来自于幸存者时(因为无从由死者获得来源),此信息可能会存在与实际情况不同之偏差。这种偏差可以导致各种错误结论。
英语百科
Survivorship bias 幸存者偏差Survivorship bias, or survival bias, is the logical error of concentrating on the people or things that "survived" some process and inadvertently overlooking those that did not because of their lack of visibility. This can lead to false conclusions in several different ways. The survivors may be actual people, as in a medical study, or could be companies or research subjects or applicants for a job, or anything that must make it past some selection process to be considered further. |
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