reinhart

Vincent Reinhart at AEI said it may not happen immediately, but he believes significant Fed action is just around the corner.

As for Profs Reinhart and Rogoff, I suspect that they, too, will be mostly remembered for the fact that their policies have been tried.

Mr Reinhart says the Bernanke Fed has taken a " principled decision" not to talk directly about the likely path of interest rates.

Renault management does not know the identity of the sender, Mr. Reinhart said.

"They will acknowledge the problem in the outlook and look for a compromise that kicks the can down the road, " Reinhart said.

As the economists Ken Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart have written, recoveries that follow financial crises are typically a hard climb.

'The issue with debt is you can't get rid of it quickly and you can't get rid of it nicely, ' Ms. Reinhart says.

One element of the Reinhart-Rogoff study grasped keenly by conservatives is its warning that excessive debt damages an economy.

A widely cited paper by economists Ken Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart says countries with a ratio above 90% tend to grow more slowly.

Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard University have analyzed recent financial crises in advanced economies.

A stronger case against further fiscal easing comes from Carmen Reinhart of the Peterson Institute.

The paper bore one of Ms. Reinhart's hallmarks: a vast web of data, compiled from 20 countries over several decades.

Carmen Reinhart is a professor at the University of Maryland and Vincent Reinhart is resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.

However, 'if the economy is under duress, ' Mr. Reinhart says, 'too long doesn't look that long at all.

Those economies also deleveraged during the tranquil booming years (as discussed in Reinhart and Rogoff, 2010).

But Mr Reinhart says that policymakers are usually too "timid" to pursue them.

They began the book around 2003, not long after Mr. Rogoff lured Ms. Reinhart back to the I. M. F. to serve as his deputy.

The years just before the start of the subprime meltdown fit the Reinhart-Rogoff template remarkably well.

Vince Reinhart of the American Enterprise Institute worries about a replay of the summers of 2007 and 2008.

They tend to be deeper and more enduring, according to now-famous research by economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff.

Mr. Reinhart insisted, however, that Renault remains a victim -- one way or another.

In the past, other economists often took the same empirical approach as the Reinhart-Rogoff team.

The average rich-world banking crisis in the Reinhart-Rogoff sample leads to recession.

Interest rates hint at a return to post-war conditions, too, according to the Reinhart-Sbrancia sample of advanced economies.

Ms. Reinhart looked at 15 post-World War II financial crises and found that seven involved a double-dip back into recession.

At Columbia, she met her future husband, Vincent Reinhart, who is now an occasional co-author with her.

After earning her doctorate in 1988, Ms. Reinhart started work at the I. M. F.

Defaults have been common in the past, as Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff showed in their book, "This Time is Different" .

Last year, George Reinhart saw an ad for a managing director of the privately owned island of Mustique in the West Indies.

This is the conclusion I draw from the paper by Professors Reinhart and Rogoff.

MS. REINHART, 54, is hardly a household name.

This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly.