At this early stage of risk-analysis, who can say what the right decision is, yet all three of my friends feel under pressure to have the vaccination, as though there was no real choice in the matter.
This paper introduces expected value principle, expected utility principle and prospect theory in decision making underrisk.
本文介绍了风险型决策中的期望值原则,期望效用原则和前景理论。
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Prospect theory is a very successful descriptive model about decision making underrisk during recent several decades, it challenges the expected utility theory to fight, and even can substitute it.