In forecasts extending beyond the sample period used in the study, a stern test of any model, Mr Oswald's approach easily outperforms its rivals, including consensus predictions of commercial forecasters.
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2.
The match will mark the official opening of Agen's new ground and will be a stern test for the Aviva Premiership Rugby side with a month to go until the start of the new season.
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3.
"It will give the squad a timely boost to have a player of Gavin's quality involved in what I am sure will be another stern test in Scotland, " said Ospreys coach Lyn Jones.