Norges Bank's latest Inflation Report, for example, provides a "fan chart" for interest rates, showing the probabilitydistribution of rates until 2009, not a point forecast.
It is possible for them to hold that view and still forecast 2% growth for the next 12 months as the most likely outcome or the "median" of their probabilitydistribution.
很可能他们是这样说的和预测的2%，仍然在未来12最有可能的结果或“中位数的概率分布”个月增长。
3
The results compared with Monte Carlo simulation show that the analytical solutions can well forecast the probabilitydistribution of the steady-state Gaussian responses of the systems.