Hindsightbias is a tendency to view event outcomes in hindsight as more inevitable or foreseeable than they appeared in foresight.
后见之明偏差是指在事后看待事件结果时,会觉得事件结果比事前预测时更不可避免、更容易预见的倾向。
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The hindsightbias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an vent once that outcome is actually know.
事后诸葛亮,决策者的错误的信任,他们能精确的推出预言和事后的结果的。
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They tend to produce complicated models that accurately correspond to past events, but may not do so well in predicting the future -- social scientists call the phenomenon "hindsightbias."